healthy4u: magic bullet theory

<span style="font-family:arial;">Computers once again are proving not to be the plug-and-play-panacea they've been made out to be in the complex world of medicine.   The Magic Bullet Theory of IT-Enabled Transformation once again bites the dust in the real world of medicine:</span><br /><a style="font-family: arial;" href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/print/2011-06-29/errors-occur-in-12-of-electronic-drug-prescriptions-matching-handwritten.html"><br /></a><blockquote  style="font-family:arial;"><a style="font-weight: bold;" href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/print/2011-06-29/errors-occur-in-12-of-electronic-drug-prescriptions-matching-handwritten.html">Errors Occur in 12% of Electronic Drug Prescriptions Matching Handwritten</a><br />Bloomberg<br />By Michelle Fay Cortez<br />Jun 29, 2011<br /><br />As many as 12 percent of the drug prescriptions sent electronically to pharmacies contain errors, a <span style="font-weight: bold;">rate that matches handwritten orders</span> for medicine from physicians, researchers said.<br /><br />An analysis of 3,850 computer-generated prescriptions written over a four-week period found 452 contained errors, including 163 that could harm the patient, according to a report published today in the Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association. <span style="font-weight: bold;">The rate was consistent with past studies reviewing the risk of errors when a doctor writes a prescription and hands it to the patient, the researchers said.</span></blockquote><br /><span style="font-family:arial;">Pens and prescription pads are orders of magnitude less expensive than multimillion dollar computer systems, I might add.</span><br /><blockquote  style="font-family:arial;"><br />The results <span style="font-weight: bold;">undermine the expected safety benefits </span>from computer-generated prescriptions, said the study authors led by Karen Nanji of Massachusetts General Hospital’s anesthesia, critical care and pain department. The U.S. paid more than $158.3 million to doctors and hospitals in the first half of 2011 to encourage adoption of electronic health records, which President Barack Obama has advocated as a way to lower health- care costs and reduce medical errors.</blockquote><br /><span style="font-family:arial;">"Expected benefits?"  Expected under what assumptions? </span><span style="font-weight: bold; font-style: italic; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);font-family:arial;" > [The assumptions that computers are a 'magic bullet' of some sort for complex real-world problems, and that technological determinism applies, are my best guesses as to the major ones - ed.]</span><br /><br /><blockquote  style="font-family:arial;">“Providers appear to be rapidly adopting electronic health records and computerized prescribing, and one of the major anticipated benefits is expected to be through medication-error reduction,” the researchers wrote. “<span style="font-weight: bold;">Many of these benefits will not be realized if the electronic prescribing applications are not mature and either do not catch or even cause new medication errors.”</span></blockquote><br /><span style="font-family:arial;">If health IT are indeed medical devices (as per CDRH Director Shuren, see </span><a style="font-family: arial;" href="http://hcrenewal.blogspot.com/2011/04/fda-decides-regulating-implantable.html">this link</a><span style="font-family:arial;">) but they are "not mature", then why are they on the market without pre-marketing validation, post-marketing surveillance  and other regulatory requirements faced by other medical devices?</span><br /><br /><blockquote face="arial">“With more than 3 billon prescriptions written annually in the U.S. alone, this could amount to 385 million errors each year<span style="font-weight: bold;">, with 128 million of them having the potential to cause patient harm</span>, said researcher Jeffrey Rothschild, from the center for patient safety research and practice at Brigham and Women’s Hospital in Boston.</blockquote><br /><span style="font-family:arial;">If the technology is this unreliable at this time, then perhaps investing hundreds of billions of dollars in it in 2011 is premature?</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family:arial;">Feeling a bit like Harry Markopolos once again, I offer what I am going to call </span><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:arial;" >Healthcare Renewal's Rule #1 of Cybernetic Common Sense in Medicine:</span><br /><br /><blockquote style="font-family: arial;"><span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">"Computers can only solve problems amenable to be being solved by computers, and only when all steps in their design and implementation are led by bona fide, domain-experienced, competent problem solvers."  </span><br /><br /></blockquote><div  style="font-family:arial;">This will not happen in the Wild-West <a href="http://www.ischool.drexel.edu/faculty/ssilverstein/cases/?loc=cases&sloc=ecosystem">health IT ecosystem</a> that currently exists.<br /><br /><br /><div style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiygWhNyymv7S077RDs6uFVTyEMZK45avJkH4z9ekC0lagcNOtmDMj46HcmIk8lmNuAfalGoJGCrGCIbIWZiQuvm_FSkI-eAe0YEiIO7xdNIviOHYFYmsduokyPSF0uBamMqlzTpN147JfC/s1600/magic+bullet.jpg"><img alt="" border="0" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5624076346912619874" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiygWhNyymv7S077RDs6uFVTyEMZK45avJkH4z9ekC0lagcNOtmDMj46HcmIk8lmNuAfalGoJGCrGCIbIWZiQuvm_FSkI-eAe0YEiIO7xdNIviOHYFYmsduokyPSF0uBamMqlzTpN147JfC/s320/magic+bullet.jpg" style="display: block; margin: 0px auto 10px; text-align: center; cursor: pointer; width: 194px; height: 147px;" /></a><span style="font-size:85%;">USB-equipped Magic Bullets.   Click to enlarge.</span><br /></div><br /><span style="font-size:100%;">I have been asked what is needed for this industry to mature.<br /><br />Conceptually, the first step is:   <span style="font-style: italic;">regulatory consistency.</span><br /><br /></span></div> <div  style="font-family:arial;"><span style="font-size:100%;"> </span></div> <div  style="font-family:arial;"><span style="font-size:100%;">As previously mentioned, Jeff Shuren MD JD of FDA's Center for Device & Radiological Health (CDRH), a physician and a lawyer,  called health IT a "medical device".   On Feb. 25 2010 he  stated:<br /><br /></span></div> <div  style="font-family:arial;"><span style="font-size:100%;"> </span></div> <blockquote  style="margin-right: 0px;font-family:arial;" dir="ltr"> <div><span style="font-size:100%;"><span style="font-size:100%;">... Under the <a href="http://www.blogger.com/redir.aspx?C=04b1666d8cac42bb98c48a047c663742&URL=http%3a%2f%2fwww.fda.gov%2fregulatoryinformation%2flegislation%2ffederalfooddrugandcosmeticactfdcact%2fdefault.htm" target="_blank">Federal, Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act</a>, <strong><span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">[that regulates all drug,  medical devices, etc. in the United States -ed.]</span> HIT software is a medical  device</strong>.<br /><br />Currently, the FDA mandates that manufacturers of other types  of software devices comply with the laws and regulations that apply to more  traditional medical device firms. These products include devices that contain  one or more software components, parts, or accessories (such as  electrocardiographic (ECG) systems used to monitor patient activity), as well as  devices that are composed solely of software (such as laboratory information  management systems).<br /><br /></span></span></div></blockquote> <div style="font-family: arial;"><span style="font-size:100%;"> </span></div> <div face="arial"><span style="font-size:100%;">See links to his quotes at my post  at <a href="http://hcrenewal.blogspot.com/2011/04/fda-decides-regulating-implantable.html" target="_blank">http://hcrenewal.blogspot.com/2011/04/fda-decides-regulating-implantable.html</a>  </span></div> <div dir="ltr"  style="font-family:arial;"><span style="font-size:100%;"> </span></div> <div  style="direction: ltr;font-family:arial;" id="divRpF334264"><span style="font-size:100%;"><br />Treating "HIT software" as such - as a medical device -  with all that implies, would be a first step.   Instead - for whatever  political reasons - HIT is given special accommodation.</span></div> <div  style="direction: ltr;font-family:arial;"><span style="font-size:100%;"> </span></div> <div  style="direction: ltr;font-family:arial;"><span style="font-size:100%;"><br />We could do the reverse to  achieve regulatory consistency as well.  What about <span style="font-weight: bold; font-style: italic;">de-regulating</span> other medical devices and drugs?  Might that not work out well?<br /><br />One might also ask, if that's a ridiculous  option, then why does HIT, <span style="font-weight: bold;">even more potentially dangerous</span> than a drug, stent or defibrillator get a pass?</span></div> <div  style="direction: ltr;font-family:arial;"><span style="font-size:100%;"> </span></div> <div  style="direction: ltr;font-family:arial;"><span style="font-size:100%;"><br />Why is HIT even more potentially dangerous </span><span style="font-size:100%;">than a drug, stent or defibrillator?<br /><br /></span><span style="font-size:100%;">There's a critical, infrequently addressed issue that arises as IT capabilities advance.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">HIT  is much more than a medical device like a stent or defibrillator</span>, since it  increasingly acts as a "coach" in the sports meaning of the term, or a  "conductor" of clinicians in the sense of, say, a Herbert von Karajan or Eugene  Ormandy as conductor of musicians.</span></div> <div  style="direction: ltr;font-family:arial;"><span style="font-size:100%;"> </span></div> <div  style="direction: ltr;font-family:arial;"><span style="font-size:100%;"><br />The computer increasingly calls the shots, so it in  effect is increasingly a <strong>cybernetic intermediary</strong> or "proxy"  between doctor and patient.  (In essence, the "learned intermediary" metaphor is  obsolete; for instance when a doctor fired up some expert system, posed a question  about what antibiotic to best use, and then either used or ignored the  outputs.  The computer is now between doctor and patient.)<br /><br /></span></div> <div  style="direction: ltr;font-family:arial;"><span style="font-size:100%;"> </span></div> <div  style="direction: ltr;font-family:arial;"><span style="font-size:100%;">Here are tragic, if accurate, allegations of a computer in control of clinicians:  the child death  lawsuit complaint #2 at my post "<span style="font-weight: bold;">Babies' deaths spotlight safety risks linked to computerized systems</span>" at <a href="http://hcrenewal.blogspot.com/2011/06/babys-death-spotlights-safety-risks.html" target="_blank">http://hcrenewal.blogspot.com/2011/06/babys-death-spotlights-safety-risks.html</a> :<br /><br /></span></div> <div  style="direction: ltr;font-family:arial;"><span style="font-size:100%;"> </span></div> <blockquote  style="margin-right: 0px;font-family:arial;" dir="ltr"> <div style="direction: ltr;"><span style="font-size:100%;">Count 42:  Defendants told  Plaintiffs that the <span style="font-weight: bold;">incorrect date on the image  caused the x-ray not to be read by a radiologist in the night the image was  taken</span>, and that if the image had been correctly dated February 27, 2010,  it would have been reviewed by a radiologist immediately, who would have alerted  Defendants that the PICC line was improperly positioned and had to be moved back  to a safe position. However, since the film was incorrectly dated February 23,  2010, <span style="font-weight: bold;">the film was classified as “old” <span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);"><em>[BY THE COMPUTER PROGRAM - ed.]</em></span> and was not put  in line for immediate review <em><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">[BY THE COMPUTER PROGRAM - ed.]</span></em></span>, and was not reviewed in time to prevent injury to  Plaintiffs Decedent.<br /><br /></span></div> <div style="direction: ltr;"><span style="font-size:100%;"> </span></div> <div style="direction: ltr;"><span style="font-size:100%;">Count 45:  Defendants told  Plaintiff that the x-ray from the 27th, which was mislabeled as being from the  23rd, would have been reviewed by the neonatologist on duty on the morning of  the 28th, but <span style="font-weight: bold;">this did not happen because the  computer which places films in line to be reviewed would have ignored such an  “old” film</span>.  <em><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);"><strong>[That is, the computer  cybernetically made the decision that the radiologists need not read the film, and in doing so exerted deadly interference with the clinicians' work - ed.]</strong></span></em></span></div></blockquote> <div  style="direction: ltr;font-family:arial;"><span style="font-size:100%;"><br />If a machine is to be given this  kind of authority, i.e., as a conductor or governor of clinicians, its competence to do  so needs to be extensively and robustly validated.</span></div> <div  style="direction: ltr;font-family:arial;"><span style="font-size:100%;"> </span></div>  <div  style="direction: ltr;font-family:arial;"><span style="font-size:100%;"> </span></div> <div  style="direction: ltr;font-family:arial;"><span style="font-size:100%;"><br />A neurosurgeon doesn't cut  into someone's head before their skills in that regard have been extensively  validated.<strong><br /><br />Why do  cybernetic intermediaries get special regulatory accommodation, especially when <a style="font-weight: normal;" href="http://www.ischool.drexel.edu/faculty/ssilverstein/cases/?loc=cases&sloc=readinglist">evidence is increasingly mounting</a><span style="font-weight: normal;"> that, as of 2011, they are often deficient?</span><br /><br /><span style="font-weight: normal;">-- SS</span><br /><br /></strong></span></div>

Electronic medication prescribing: The Magic Bullet Theory of IT-Enabled Transformation once again bites the dust in the real world of medicine

Computers once again are proving not to be the plug-and-play-panacea they've been made out to be in the complex world of medicine. The Magic Bullet Theory of IT-Enabled Transformation once again bit…

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